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U.S.-China trade progress boosts futures at end of turbulent year



(Reuters) – U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday, boosted by signs of progress in the U.S.-China trade dispute and rising crude oil prices, setting up Wall Street to end its worst year in a decade on an upbeat note.

FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., December 28, 2018. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon

U.S. President Donald Trump said he had a “very good call” with China’s President Xi Jinping on Saturday to discuss trade and claimed “big progress” was being made.

“The progress cited by Trump on trade talks and a continuation of last week’s rally are lifting investor spirits,” Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, said in a client note.

The update on the trade front also helped boost crude oil prices more than 2 percent, bolstering the stock market. [O/R]

At 7:32 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis 1YMc1 were up 241 points, or 1.05 percent. S&P 500 e-minis ESc1 were up 23.5 points, or 0.95 percent and Nasdaq 100 e-minis NQc1 were up 70 points, or 1.11 percent.

After the violent swings this month, the last day of trading is expected to be relatively muted in comparatively light volumes ahead of the holiday on Tuesday for New Year’s Day.

Last week started with the benchmark S&P 500 .SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI coming within a whisker of a 20 percent decline from their closing high — also known as bear market territory — before rallying after Christmas to end the week higher after three straight weeks of losses.

Still, the S&P 500 down 9.94 percent so far in December, was its biggest monthly drop since February 2009 and its worst December since the Great Depression.

The benchmark index has fallen 7.03 percent this year, while the Dow has fallen 6.70 percent, both snapping a two-year winning streak to post their biggest yearly drop since 2008, during the throes of the financial crisis.

The Nasdaq .IXIC, after rising for six years in a row, has fallen 4.62 percent this year.

Most of the damage was inflicted in the past three months as worries about Sino-U.S. trade frictions, U.S. interest rate hikes, slowing corporate profit growth, Brexit and the partial U.S. federal government shutdown, entering its 10th day, formed a perfect storm across global financial markets.

Many of these concerns will carry over into 2019, but for this week, the major point of interest will be key U.S. economic reports, including on manufacturing and employment.

Reporting by Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta