The new bilateral agreement reached on Friday between the United States and Guatemala — under the threat of tariffs and a travel ban — that Guatemala will now officially be designated as a safe third country will do little to stem the flow of migration because Guatemala like the rest of the “Northern Triangle” countries is, in reality, not safe. People will still leave.
In El Porvenir, in northern Honduras, one young teacher spoke of her students’ “dream drawings.” The vast majority of her students, she explained, drew pictures of themselves living in the United States as adults. “They know there’s no future in Honduras,” she said to us at a small town hall meeting. “These barriers at your border won’t stop them from trying to achieve their dream.”
As lawyers, we aren’t experts in foreign aid, international development or foreign policy. But based on what we saw and heard, to actually deter migrants, America must go to the root of the problem. That would mean a recommitment to support Honduras and the other Central American countries producing the vast majority of asylum seekers. In doing so, it cannot simply put money into the hands of a transparently corrupt government that has failed the public and completely lost its trust.
The United States could instead back the many local civil society organizations we met with that are doing exceptional work in job training, education and community building. With extra aid aimed at reducing violence, strengthening infrastructure, getting desperately needed medicines back into hospitals and books back into schools, more people will stay.
Many fairly argue that the United States should be making these investments anyway, as amends for its interventions in Central America throughout the 20th century, which significantly contributed to the pain these nations are experiencing now.
Of course, this sort of extended strategy precludes overnight success. However, with a long-term commitment the United States can help ensure that the “dream drawings” of the next generation of Hondurans include drawings of themselves as presidents, doctors and firefighters in their home country.