The department’s legal campaign had already undergone head-snapping changes in strategy this month. Department lawyers first said they were abandoning the case in the face of a Supreme Court ruling blocking the question, only to reverse course a day later and say they were exploring a “legally available path” to restoring the question on orders of Mr. Trump.
But that handed opponents of the citizenship question a legal opening: In a motion in Judge Furman’s court last week, they argued that the government had repeatedly said the lawsuit had to be resolved by June 30, when the printing of the 2020 census forms had to begin. The department’s announcement that it would continue to press for the question in July belied that explanation, opposition lawyers said.
They also suggested that the administration had set a false deadline for resolving the case to keep opponents from uncovering evidence that the citizenship question had been driven by a desire to help the Republican Party gain power when census figures are used to draw new political boundaries in 2021. The challengers said they would pursue sanctions against the defense for its conduct.
The Justice Department announced the switch in legal teams two days later on Friday. While the department has not explained the change, multiple people familiar with the case have said that the lawyers resigned from the lawsuit out of ethical concerns and a belief that the suit was unwinnable.
Those people have said that many of the lawyers did not see a path forward on the case, given that any argument would most likely contradict statements made in district courts and the Supreme Court that the administration had to have a decision by June 30.
But were that explanation given to Judge Furman, it would undermine any future arguments made by the Trump administration as it continues to find a way to put the citizenship question onto the census.
“They are absolutely in a bind,” said Neal Katyal, a partner at Hogan Lovells and the former acting solicitor general. “They can’t answer the question without gutting what Trump and Barr are trying to do. They can try to avoid being forthcoming, which is increasingly the modus operandi of Trump’s Justice Department. But that move will fail in the courts, as today’s decision indicates.”