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Kenya: Private Sector Activity Hits 9-Month Low as PMI Falls Below 50

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Nairobi — Private sector activity in the country hit a nine-month low in January on lower client spending and slowed employment growth as Covid-19 continued to hamper recovery, a new survey shows.

The latest Stanbic Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) shows it fell to 47.6 in January from 53.7 in December.

Readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions on the previous month, while readings below 50.0 show a deterioration.

The index signaled a solid decline in operating conditions, albeit one that was slower than those seen in April 2021 and during the second quarter of 2020.

“Economic activity started 2022 on a subdued note as evidenced by the Stanbic PMI reading that fell to the lowest level in 9 months. While export demand grew marginally, domestic demand fell significantly as client spending was negatively affected by rising inflation and a resurgence in Covid-19 due to the Omicron variant,” said Kuria Kamau, Fixed Income and Currency Strategist at Stanbic Bank.

According to Stanbic, lower client spending drove a marked decline in sales, in part related to strong price pressures and a recent surge in Covid-19 cases from the Omicron variant.

“Employment growth slowed and input purchasing fell as a result, while business confidence improved only slightly from December’s record low,” said Stanbic.

After registering the strongest upturn for 14 months in December, new business inflows declined sharply at the beginning of the year while export sales continued to rise, albeit at a far weaker pace.