Ramon Casiple, head of the Institute for Political and Electoral Reform, said a victory by Mr. Duterte’s allies on Monday “would spell a continuity of his political agenda and strengthening of his hold on power.”
He said the candidacies of key Duterte allies, including his one-time personal aide, Bong Go, and Ronald dela Rosa, the police chief, could be propelled by Mr. Duterte’s popularity, noting that various surveys have said that a majority of the country’s population still backed the president and turned a blind eye on the excesses of his drugs crackdown.
“That Duterte continues to enjoy an unprecedented 80 percent popularity after three years speaks of his understanding of the reality on the ground, specifically of the yearning of the vast sections of the poor,” Mr. Casiple said.
Monday’s elections are taking place at the midpoint of Mr. Duterte’s six-year term. And unlike the House of Representatives, which has supported Mr. Duterte’s war on drugs and other policies, the Senate has been seen as more independent. Six members of the opposition are in the minority bloc, while the rest are allied with the president.
The opposition has already been weakened, with one member, Senator Leila de Lima, in jail for what she says are trumped-up charges, and another critic, Antonio Trillanes, not seeking re-election.
Meanwhile, the nation’s police chief, Oscar Albayalde, cited widespread reports of cheating.
“We are seeing a massive increase in vote buying,” he said, adding that since voting began Monday, more than 230 people had been arrested.