China’s industrial output continues slow recovery from virus hit

By AFP

Beijing

China’s factory output rose again in May, while official data Monday also showed retail sales improved further after collapsing at the start of the year but officials warned the country faced a rocky recovery as it emerges from the coronavirus crisis.

The world’s number two economy has been hammered by the disease, with strict lockdown measures to contain it causing the first recession in decades during January-March.

Industrial production expanded 4.4 per cent last month, the Bureau for National Statistics (NBS), up from 3.9 per cent in April, which was the first increase this year.

FORECAST

The reading was slightly short of the five per cent forecast in a Bloomberg survey but is a sharp improvement on the 13.5 per cent collapse in the first two months of the year.

Retail sales remained in negative territory, shrinking 2.8 per cent in May, and while it was also worse than the expected two percent estimated, it was much better than the 7.5 per cent contraction suffered in April.

Consumer spending is increasingly crucial for the Chinese economy as leaders look to transition it from one driven by investment and exports, and has taken on more importance with overseas markets battered by the virus.

PEOPLE STILL ANXIOUS

But sluggish spending indicates people are still anxious about returning to their normal lives.

Jiang Yuan, deputy director of the industry department at the NBS, noted Monday that the recovery of some industries and products weakened in May, adding that “the external environment is complex, and the stable operation of the industrial economy still faces many difficulties and uncertainties”.

Unemployment – which has climbed this year – shrank slightly to 5.9 per cent, from six percent in April.

The Communist Party has long staked its legitimacy on delivering jobs and prosperity in return for public acquiescence to its political monopoly.

A fresh outbreak of the coronavirus in Beijing has raised concerns about a new wave of infections that could hurt any economic recovery.